NVDA Q2 blowout fades on circular financing

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Nvidia printed record Q2 revenue of $96.2B and guided 70% growth through FY2028, then added over $400B in market cap in one session. The stock gave back about 4.5% the next day as traders focused on customer financing loops, a reported pause of AI-cloud revenue-sharing deals covering $36B of commitments, and guided margin compression from rising memory costs. The tape is pricing whether AI demand still sets a supply-constrained floor or whether Nvidia is funding too much of its own revenue.

多头AI demand still outruns supply and Nvidia just reset the multi-year growth floor. Q2 revenue hit $96.2B, up 106% YoY, Q3 is guided to $108B, and management put FY2028 revenue growth at 70% against prior Street expectations nearer 45%.

空头Nvidia is financing the companies that buy its chips, and that circular loop is the real risk under the print. A reported pause on $36B of AI-cloud revenue-sharing commitments, rising DSOs, and guided gross-margin compression from memory costs drove the fade after the $400B pop.

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多头论据

@WatcherGuruNvidia added over $400B in market cap in one day, its second-largest single-day gain ever.

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@charliebilelloQ2 revenue hit a record $96B (+106% YoY) with Q3 guided to $108B and record net income of $59.7B.

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@danielnewmanUV70% growth through FY2028 sets a supply-constrained floor for the AI trade as demand stays higher.

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空头论据

@gnoble79The sudden FY2028 70% guide looks like a shell game with Anthropic IPO timing as Nvidia finances its own revenue.

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@anyatradesNvidia is putting billions into CoreWeave, Nebius, and OpenAI so customers can keep buying Nvidia chips.

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@StockSavvyShayNvidia paused revenue-sharing deals with smaller AI clouds covering about $36B of commitments on antitrust concerns.

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