IREN selloff tests the AI cloud growth thesis

247Wallst+1 · 6 hours ago
IREN selloff tests the AI cloud growth thesis
  • IREN reported $137.2 million of revenue and a $684 million fiscal Q4 GAAP net loss; a $450.4 million non-cash impairment and a $102.1 million fair-value write-down on decommissioned Bitcoin mining hardware drove most of the loss.
  • AI Cloud revenue more than doubled sequentially to $70.5 million, while management guided to $4 billion of contracted ARR operational by December 31, 2026, excluding $700 million tied to an NVIDIA contract that ramps in 2027.
  • Bernstein analyst Gautam Chhugani set a Street-high $100 Outperform target, implying roughly 182% upside from the reported $35.45 share price, based on IREN’s power access, NVIDIA validation and expected AI cluster operating leverage.
  • The execution test is delivery of Horizons 2 through 4 to Microsoft on schedule; Applied Digital and TeraWulf were also cited as deeply discounted AI infrastructure peers with large gaps to consensus targets.

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The bull case requires those Horizons landing on time.247WallSt
This scenario creates a "dislocation" where the stock trades significantly below its $80.19 consensus target247WallSt

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