China home prices stabilising in top cities, Citi and Goldman say

South China Morning Post · 3 hours ago
China home prices stabilising in top cities, Citi and Goldman say
  • Shanghai became the first city to post positive year-on-year growth in secondary home prices in September, rising 0.8%, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.
  • Citi sees 2027 as a pivotal year for home price recovery in Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen, and says Chinese home prices hit their lowest point in June 2024.
  • Goldman Sachs and Citi expect China's housing sector to pivot as soon as 2027, citing shrinking supply and robust National Day holiday sales.
  • Citi says most tier-two cities are likely to lag the recovery in top-city home prices.

Quotes

“While we need further confirmation before declaring a sustained recovery, the evidence increasingly points to stabilising and potentially rising home prices in top cities, with most tier-two cities likely to lag”— Griffin Chan, analyst at Citi Research

Sources