Dell's $95B AI backlog lifts stock to record high as chip shortage worsens

247Wallst+2 · 3 hours ago
Dell's $95B AI backlog lifts stock to record high as chip shortage worsens
  • Dell ended fiscal Q2 2027 with a $95 billion AI server backlog after converting $131.7 billion of AI server orders into revenue over the past 12 months, and booked roughly $61 billion of AI server orders in the quarter alone — more than its quarterly revenue.
  • Dell's Q2 FY27 revenue rose 57.75% to $46.97 billion and AI-optimized server revenue doubled to $16.40 billion; management raised FY27 revenue guidance to $192 billion and non-GAAP EPS to $25.50.
  • CEO Michael Dell said the structural chip shortage will be more severe in 2027 than in 2026 because model iteration cycles outrun fab construction, and that rising component costs will be passed into product pricing while customers prioritize guaranteed supply over price.
  • Oracle's FY27 capital expenditure plan of $90 billion to $95 billion for AI server racks, liquid cooling and networking names Dell as a primary beneficiary, and RBC cites Dell's best-in-class supply chain as a competitive barrier during industry-wide supply disruption.
  • Risks remain: Q2 FY27 free cash flow fell 47.22%, margin compression and supply constraints persist, and the stock trades near 20 times forward earnings against 25 times for the Nasdaq-100 — a discount the bull case leans on.

Quotes

the first to ship Rack Systems engineered on the Nvidia Vera Rubin platformDell Technologies management
the structural chip shortage in 2027 is very likely to be more severe than in 2026Michael Dell
best-in-class supply chain a competitive barrier that stands out particularly during periods of supply disruptionRBC

Sources