September CPI seen accelerating to 3.6% as oil-driven inflation builds

CNBC · 3 hours ago
September CPI seen accelerating to 3.6% as oil-driven inflation builds
  • Economists polled by Dow Jones expect September headline CPI to rise 0.6% on the month and 3.6% year over year, a 12-month rate that would signal accelerating price growth.
  • Core CPI is forecast to rise 0.2% on the month and 2.5% on a 12-month basis, a slight monthly slowdown but an uptick in annual inflation.
  • Brent crude rose more than 14% in September, bringing its third-quarter advance to about 42%, and traded around $105 per barrel on Tuesday.
  • The Federal Reserve signaled in its latest minutes that it will likely have to hike rates again, and fed funds futures traders anticipate a move at the December meeting.
  • Economists forecast the producer price index to rise 0.6% month over month and 5.5% year over year, with the release due Thursday.

Quotes

“We've got real upside risk on the September CPI”— Joe Brusuelas
“The list of reasons to hike rates in our view is long”— Robert Sockin

Sources