Amazon trades near 20x earnings as AI ads push and capex climb

Gurufocus+2 · yesterday
Amazon trades near 20x earnings as AI ads push and capex climb
  • Amazon rose about 0.8% to $253.41 after introducing Amazon Ads Agent, which lets advertisers hand campaign planning and optimization to AI, retain manual control or combine both; Cantor Fitzgerald maintained Overweight and a $320 target, roughly 26.3% upside.
  • Full-Funnel testing delivered 67% higher long-term returns on advertising spending and 29% lower costs to acquire new customers, per Investing.com. The results are test data; Amazon still needs broader adoption and stronger incremental margins.
  • Amazon trades at roughly 20 times trailing earnings near $251, down about 2.4% over the past month, with an FTC lawsuit alleging the company overcharged about 1.2 million advertisers by about $20 billion since 2019 threatening its high-margin advertising business.
  • Capital spending is expected to rise to $320 billion in 2027 and $370 billion in 2028, potentially pushing free cash flow to roughly negative $50 billion in those years, while AWS cannot meet all customer demand and Wall Street holds a Strong Buy consensus with a $331.82 average target.
  • Amazon fiscal Q2 2026 net sales rose 20% year-over-year to $200.6 billion with diluted EPS of $5.75, partly boosted by a $53.4 billion pre-tax gain from an AI startup investment; AWS revenue grew 37% to $42.2 billion, its fastest rate in 18 quarters, on a $496 billion backlog.
  • Amazon plans to lift its full-year 2026 capital expenditure forecast to approximately $220 billion, mainly for AWS and generative AI infrastructure. North America sales rose 16%, International sales rose 15% and advertising services contributed $19.8 billion, up 26%.

Quotes

“the company plans to increase its full-year 2026 capital expenditure forecast to approximately $220 billion, mainly for AWS and generative AI infrastructure”— Trefis
“overcharged roughly 1.2 million advertisers by about $20 billion since 2019”— TipRanks
“Cantor retained its $320 target after Amazon unified campaign creation, placement, optimization and measurement.”— GuruFocus

Sources